Introduction
The U.S. financial press appears “alarmed” at the implications of the Genius Act, with some commentators openly asserting that the traditional financial system stands on the brink of disappearance. The Crypto Lobby, while arriving at a similar conclusion, does so in a far less pessimistic tone. According to the Crypto Lobby, the traditional financial system is destined to vanish due to the emergence of disruptive technology which, once widely adopted, will transform the global financial order.
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Stablecoins promise greater efficiency in global payments; however, their proliferation entails substantial risks to monetary policy and state sovereignty. This memorandum examines implications such as increased monetary velocity and diminished central control, both of which may destabilize traditional economies.
For instance, with fully reserved stablecoins, the creation of money through bank credit would effectively disappear, thereby limiting central banks’ ability to manage the money supply. In such a scenario, lending would be contingent upon pre-existing funds rather than leverage, requiring the development of new instruments to govern credit flows.
Furthermore, the velocity of money would rise significantly, multiplying economic activity under a constant supply and complicating inflationary models. Additional risks include concentration of power in private issuers (e.g., Tether or Circle), monetary fragmentation, and the exclusion of non-digitalized populations.
From a sovereignty perspective, dollar-pegged stablecoins expand U.S. hegemony, eroding monetary autonomy in emerging economies. Regulatory frameworks such as MiCA seek to mitigate these effects by prioritizing CBDCs, yet the Genius Act accelerates private adoption, producing a “crowding out” effect in sovereign debt markets.
Conclusion
Stablecoins represent an existential challenge to monetary policy, compelling a redefinition of stability mandates. To safeguard sovereignty, states must strike a balance between fostering innovation and imposing stringent regulatory oversight, thereby preventing private issuers from dominating global monetary flows.
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